Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.676393 5.321151 6.030873 6.871445 7.841603 8.928260 10.240550
2025-04-20 3.885208 4.742795 5.761559 7.066287 8.700415 10.689199 13.307827
2025-04-27 3.386165 4.351442 5.564196 7.210388 9.402979 12.245526 16.246591
2025-05-04 3.078365 4.125705 5.503563 7.466358 10.218802 13.982977 19.592224
2025-05-11 2.696816 3.741344 5.168689 7.285227 10.384095 14.817540 21.753085
2025-05-18 2.417286 3.457776 4.928435 7.188957 10.629806 15.758119 24.145348
2025-05-25 2.191550 3.222483 4.724760 7.110499 10.873285 16.696527 26.620837
2025-06-01 1.990059 3.000061 4.513109 6.988537 11.022031 17.484647 28.928044
2025-06-08 1.810650 2.792514 4.301171 6.838022 11.098131 18.147907 31.086379
2025-06-15 1.747958 2.759778 4.355644 7.116486 11.900649 20.089966 35.698165
2025-06-22 1.649331 2.659452 4.290570 7.185840 12.348152 21.461931 39.445362
2025-06-29 1.539573 2.530761 4.166224 7.138740 12.580558 22.467611 42.620227
2025-07-06 1.432429 2.399313 4.028698 7.059794 12.755164 23.401318 45.813817
2025-07-13 1.382855 2.362355 4.049992 7.267349 13.481647 25.454619 51.547267
2025-07-20 1.328179 2.311424 4.041314 7.416704 14.109493 27.382764 57.287258
2025-07-27 1.294365 2.294644 4.091680 7.680783 14.987971 29.910440 64.688782
2025-08-03 1.201611 2.162593 3.918776 7.493979 14.933010 30.497034 67.806207
2025-08-10 1.128493 2.061594 3.795985 7.394696 15.047286 31.451799 71.907752
2025-08-17 1.063838 1.971802 3.687444 7.313784 15.190551 32.482226 76.334150
2025-08-24 0.999253 1.877475 3.562818 7.188013 15.222378 33.264014 80.256522
2025-08-31 0.936582 1.782516 3.429886 7.032804 15.172405 33.850458 83.764989
2025-09-07 0.925352 1.788762 3.500304 7.319959 16.153336 36.967751 94.374544
2025-09-14 0.892590 1.749114 3.473685 7.391481 16.640929 38.954130 102.250474